The recent US-led military action in Venezuela and the seizure of its president have ignited apprehension regarding America's ambitions on Greenland. Supporters of the ex-president's political movement have reportedly turned their attention to the strategically important island in the wake of the operations in the southern hemisphere.
Inflammatory Posts and Diplomatic Backlash
Merely a short time after the initiation of the Caracas campaign, a prominent conservative commentator, who is the spouse of a high-ranking White House adviser, posted a symbolic image. The picture depicted Greenland covered in the American flag, with the single-word message: "SOON."
This blatant threat to claim the resource-abundant land, which is a member of the North Atlantic alliance, triggered swift and strong criticism from Denmark's officials.
"We are strong partners and should keep cooperate as such. US security is also Greenland’s and our security," stated the Copenhagen's envoy to the United States. "Our nation and the United States collaborate to guarantee security in the Arctic."
The ambassador further highlighted that Denmark had significantly increased its defence spending recently, earmarking a large sum expressly for Northern and North Atlantic security. "Furthermore, we demand full recognition for the sovereign borders of the our realm," he added.
Political Moves and Strategic Goals
The tensions were additionally complicated by the previous appointment of a US state governor as a representative to Greenland. The appointee had publicly expressed gratitude to the president, saying it was an "honour" to serve in a volunteer capacity to "bring Greenland into the US."
After the military action in Venezuela, this representative praised the president's actions, connecting it to the broader "war on drugs."
Ever since returning to office, the American leader has consistently alarmed transatlantic partners with his expressed desire in Greenland. The island is considered critically important for defence and potential mineral exploitation. It currently hosts the northernmost US air base.
Refusing to Rule Out Force
In a notable television interview, the president declined to rule out the use of armed action to acquire Greenland. This stance comes during intensifying global competition in the polar region. "I don't rule it out. I don't say I'm going to do it, but I don't rule out anything... We need Greenland very badly," he remarked.
He characterized Greenland as having a "tiny amount of people, which we’ll take care of, and we’ll value them... But we need that for international security."
Mounting Tensions and Local Opposition
In response to this constant "drumbeat" of intent, Denmark's security agency took the unprecedented step last month of classifying the United States as a "potential threat."
The leaders of Denmark and Greenland issued a unified and stern rebuke: "We have said it very clearly before. Now we say it again... You must not annex other countries."
Public opinion in Greenland shows a nuanced sentiment. While a overwhelming percentage of the territory's residents desire independence from Copenhagen, there is also scant desire to become part of the United States. The territory has had the option to seek sovereignty for many years.
Expert View: A Plausible Scenario?
Military analysts are increasingly re-evaluating the likelihood of such a move. One policy director specializing in defence conceded she had once discounted the sabre-rattling but was "now not so sure."
"It wouldn't be that hard for the US to deploy a few hundred or a couple thousand soldiers on Greenland, and it's not clear to me who could do anything about it," she concluded.